Sport Picks

Iceland

Division 2

Magni

4 - 3

Throttur Vogar

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Bardarson J.

36'

Thorisson A.

42'

Steingrimsson O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Magni and Throttur Vogar finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Magni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Magni

11%

Draws

Throttur Vogar

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Magni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Throttur Vogar come out ahead of Magni on wins alone.
Model gives Magni a 80% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Magni Clean Sheet 10%

Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Magni	Throttur Vogar
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	11
Draws	4	4
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	1.5	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.75	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Division 2

Magni vs Throttur Vogar

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

4:3

Sep 11, 2021 Division 2

Throttur Vogar vs Magni

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Jul 4, 2021 Division 2

Magni vs Throttur Vogar

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

May 29, 2013 Icelandic Cup

Magni vs Throttur Vogar

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magni Compare

Top Goalscorer Steingrimsson O.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Arnarson T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardarson J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Thorisson A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magni 74 / 100

Throttur Vogar 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Magni Throttur Vogar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magni's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Throttur Vogar conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Magni went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magni VS Throttur Vogar

1.5 Goals Scored 1.88

2.75 Goals Conceded 2.25

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Haukar	13	9	2	2	35:17	29
2	Selfoss	13	6	5	2	27:24	23
3	Kari	13	5	6	2	36:23	21
4	Kormakur/Hvot	13	5	5	3	29:15	20
5	Dalvik/Reynir	13	6	2	5	23:22	20
6	Fjolnir	13	5	3	5	32:28	18
7	Olafsvik	13	5	3	5	18:23	18
8	KFA	13	4	2	7	29:25	14
9	Magni	13	4	2	7	23:40	14
10	Throttur Vogar	13	4	1	8	21:26	13
11	Hviti	13	2	7	4	17:23	13
12	KFG Gardabaer	13	4	0	9	18:42	12