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Maguary vs Iguatu

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Matheus Lima
64' Event
Philippe Costa
72' Event
Tafinha

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Maguary
20%
Draws
58%
Iguatu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iguatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iguatu lately — more wins on the board than Maguary.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Iguatu arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iguatu, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Maguary Clean Sheet 20%
Iguatu Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maguary Iguatu
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 14
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
Iguatu vs Maguary
2:1
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Maguary vs Iguatu
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maguary Compare

Top Goalscorer Philippe Costa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Kanu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Iguatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Lima
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tafinha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maguary 32 / 100
Iguatu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maguary Iguatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Maguary scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Iguatu has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Maguary has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maguary VS Iguatu
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maguary

(Home)
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
14 Jun
ABC
1 : 0
Maguary
Page 1 of 6

Iguatu

(Away)
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1
Iguatu
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1
Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3