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Mahar United vs Chinland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Aung Y.
39' Event
Anane P.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Mahar United and Chinland finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mahar United
20%
Draws
29%
Chinland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mahar United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mahar United come out ahead of Chinland on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Mahar United taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 15%
Chinland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahar United Chinland
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.89 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 National League
Mahar United vs Chinland
1:1
May 7, 2024 MNL League Cup
Chinland vs Mahar United
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 MNL League Cup
Mahar United vs Chinland
3:0
Dec 14, 2023 National League
Mahar United vs Chinland
3:1
Jul 5, 2023 National League
Chinland vs Mahar United
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mahar United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Chinland Compare

Top Goalscorer Anane P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahar United 75 / 100
Chinland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahar United Chinland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mahar United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chinland has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Mahar United found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (36 games).

Mahar United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mahar United VS Chinland
3 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahar United

(Home)
09 Oct
Mahar United
1 : 1
Chinland
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
Page 1 of 8

Chinland

(Away)
09 Oct
Mahar United
1 : 1
Chinland
04 Sept
Chinland
1 : 5
Yangon United
28 Aug
Chinland
1 : 2
Yadanarbon
21 May
Glory Goal
1 : 2
Chinland
17 May
Chinland
1 : 4
Rakhine United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Yadanarbon 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
4 Thitsar Arman 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
5 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
6 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Ispe 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
11 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)