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Maharashtra vs Rajasthan FC

India India

Santosh Trophy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maharashtra play Rajasthan FC in the Santosh Trophy. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maharashtra averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Rajasthan FC averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Maharashtra won 0, Rajasthan FC won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 21, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Maharashtra and 1.35 for Rajasthan FC. This points to a Maharashtra double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Maharashtra
15%
Draws
35%
Rajasthan FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maharashtra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Maharashtra picked up more points recently compared to Rajasthan FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.35 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Maharashtra Clean Sheet 18%
Rajasthan FC Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharashtra Rajasthan FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.6 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Santosh Trophy
Maharashtra vs Rajasthan FC
0:3
Nov 16, 2024 Santosh Trophy
Maharashtra vs Rajasthan FC
1:2
Dec 5, 2021 Santosh Trophy
Rajasthan FC vs Maharashtra
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharashtra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Rajasthan FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Chahar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kumar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharashtra 49 / 100
Rajasthan FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharashtra Rajasthan FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maharashtra or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maharashtra attacking → ← attacking Rajasthan FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maharashtra scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Rajasthan FC let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Maharashtra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rajasthan FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 33
1.40 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Punjab FT330010:09
2Jammu Kashmir (J&K)32016:16
3Ladakh31021:63
4Himachal Pradesh30030:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uttarakhand33005:09
2Haryana31113:34
3Chandigarh31021:33
4Uttar Pradesh30121:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Railways321013:07
2Delhi football team321010:17
3Jharkhand31022:143
4Bihar30030:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nagaland32105:17
2Manipur32018:56
3Mizoram31022:43
4Tripura30122:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Meghalaya21013:33
2Arunachal21012:23
3Sikkim FA21012:23
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Odisha football team33008:19
2Telangana32016:26
3Chhattisgarh31025:53
4Madhya Pradesh30030:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tamilnadu330014:09
2Pondicherry32015:56
3Andhra Pradesh31022:83
4Andamans & Nicobar30031:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Services33008:29
2Goa FT31113:54
3Karnataka31024:43
4Lakshadweep30122:61
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rajasthan FC321010:17
2Gujarat32109:17
3Maharashtra31024:63
4DNHDD FT30030:150