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Maharashtra vs Rajasthan FC

India India

Santosh Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Khan I.
64' Event
Prakash D.
79' Event
Godara A.

AI Match Summary

The Santosh Trophy 2024/2025 game between Maharashtra and Rajasthan FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rajasthan FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Maharashtra
22%
Draws
18%
Rajasthan FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Maharashtra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Maharashtra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Maharashtra are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Santosh Trophy 2024/2025 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rajasthan FC here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Maharashtra Clean Sheet 18%
Rajasthan FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharashtra Rajasthan FC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.4 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Santosh Trophy
Maharashtra vs Rajasthan FC
0:3
Nov 16, 2024 Santosh Trophy
Maharashtra vs Rajasthan FC
1:2
Dec 5, 2021 Santosh Trophy
Rajasthan FC vs Maharashtra
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharashtra Compare

Top Goalscorer Prakash D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Rajasthan FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Khan I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Godara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharashtra 58 / 100
Rajasthan FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharashtra Rajasthan FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maharashtra scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Rajasthan FC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Maharashtra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maharashtra VS Rajasthan FC
1.4 Goals Scored 1.5
1.2 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jammu Kashmir (J&K)330010:19
2Punjab FT31118:24
3Ladakh31113:74
4Himachal Pradesh30032:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Delhi football team330012:19
2Uttarakhand32019:56
3Haryana31022:63
4Chandigarh30030:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Bengal FT321011:07
2Bihar31115:64
3Jharkhand31026:93
4Uttar Pradesh31023:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manipur330010:29
2Tripura31114:34
3Mizoram31029:63
4Sikkim FA30121:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Meghalaya32108:47
2Assam31116:34
3Nagaland31025:83
4Arunachal31027:113
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Odisha football team220010:26
2Chhattisgarh21015:53
3Madhya Pradesh20022:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tamilnadu330017:19
2Karnataka320117:26
3Andamans & Nicobar31021:183
4Andhra Pradesh30030:140
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kerala330018:09
2Railways320111:26
3Pondicherry31024:193
4Lakshadweep30032:140
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rajasthan FC32106:17
2Gujarat31203:05
3Maharashtra31114:24
4DNHDD FT30030:100