Sport Picks

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Maharlika Manila vs Azkals

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2022
Maharlika Manila Logo

Maharlika Manila

Wed, May 24, 2023
3 - 0
08:00 AM
Azkals Logo

Azkals

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maharlika Manila play Azkals in the PFL 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maharlika Manila averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Azkals averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Maharlika Manila won 1, Azkals won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Maharlika Manila and 1.31 for Azkals. This points to a Maharlika Manila double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Maharlika Manila
15%
Draws
35%
Azkals
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maharlika Manila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Maharlika Manila picked up more points recently compared to Azkals.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 18%
Azkals Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Azkals
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.97 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2023 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Azkals
3:0
Feb 25, 2023 PFL
Azkals vs Maharlika Manila
4:1
Oct 15, 2022 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Azkals
1:1
Aug 20, 2022 PFL
Azkals vs Maharlika Manila
4:0
Apr 25, 2022 Copa Paulino Alcantara
Azkals vs Maharlika Manila
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 49 / 100
Azkals 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Azkals

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maharlika Manila or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maharlika Manila attacking → ← attacking Azkals

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maharlika Manila scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Azkals let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Maharlika Manila went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Azkals lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 28
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kaya FC22181370:2055
2Cebu FC22156152:2351
3Stallion22112939:2635
4Mendiola FC 199122501719:6615
5Maharlika Manila22211914:607
6United City1273227:1324
7Azkals22631326:3921