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Maharlika Manila vs Cebu FC

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maharlika Manila play Cebu FC in the PFL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maharlika Manila averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Cebu FC averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Maharlika Manila won 0, Cebu FC won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Maharlika Manila and 1.44 for Cebu FC. This points to a Cebu FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Maharlika Manila
15%
Draws
46%
Cebu FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cebu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Maharlika Manila picked up more points recently compared to Cebu FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 16%
Cebu FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Cebu FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.1 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Maharlika Manila
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Cebu FC
1:4
Mar 16, 2025 PFL
Cebu FC vs Maharlika Manila
3:0
Nov 23, 2024 PFL
Cebu FC vs Maharlika Manila
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 PFL
Cebu FC vs Maharlika Manila
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharlika Manila Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Cebu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Leddel N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andes R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 38 / 100
Cebu FC 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Cebu FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cebu FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maharlika Manila attacking → ← attacking Cebu FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maharlika Manila scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Cebu FC let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Maharlika Manila went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cebu FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 52
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manila Digger201730103:1354
2Taguig20171284:952
3Cebu FC20133470:2142
4Kaya FC20132568:1341
5Stallion2096558:2233
6Davao Aguilas20102845:2832
7Maharlika Manila2092943:3529
8Don Bosco Garelli20501532:7415
9Tuloy20321527:11911
10Mendiola FC 199120211713:997
11Philippine Army20021814:1242