Sport Picks

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Maharlika Manila vs Kaya FC

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Rey G.
26' Event
Ott Mi.

AI Match Summary

The PFL game between Maharlika Manila and Kaya FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaya FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Maharlika Manila
22%
Draws
18%
Kaya FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Maharlika Manila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Maharlika Manila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Maharlika Manila taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kaya FC here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 12%
Kaya FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Kaya FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 PFL
Kaya FC vs Maharlika Manila
3:1
Jan 17, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Kaya FC
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Kaya FC
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 PFL
Kaya FC vs Maharlika Manila
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Kaya FC
1:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharlika Manila Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Kaya FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rey G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ott Mi.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 56 / 100
Kaya FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Kaya FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Maharlika Manila's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kaya FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Maharlika Manila stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maharlika Manila VS Kaya FC
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manila Digger201730103:1354
2Taguig20171284:952
3Cebu FC20133470:2142
4Kaya FC20132568:1341
5Stallion2096558:2233
6Davao Aguilas20102845:2832
7Maharlika Manila2092943:3529
8Don Bosco Garelli20501532:7415
9Tuloy20321527:11911
10Mendiola FC 199120211713:997
11Philippine Army20021814:1242