Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mahlsdorf vs TSG Neustrelitz

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 game between Mahlsdorf and TSG Neustrelitz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mahlsdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Mahlsdorf
15%
Draws
36%
TSG Neustrelitz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mahlsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • TSG Neustrelitz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mahlsdorf are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mahlsdorf here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mahlsdorf Clean Sheet 11%
TSG Neustrelitz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahlsdorf TSG Neustrelitz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs TSG Neustrelitz
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Mahlsdorf
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs TSG Neustrelitz
3:2
Oct 27, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Mahlsdorf
0:3
Mar 17, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs TSG Neustrelitz
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahlsdorf 35 / 100
TSG Neustrelitz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahlsdorf TSG Neustrelitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSG Neustrelitz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Mahlsdorf found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

TSG Neustrelitz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mahlsdorf VS TSG Neustrelitz
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mahlsdorf

(Home)
15 Aug
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Rathenow
08 Aug
Siedenbollentin
2 : 0
Mahlsdorf
14 Jul
Mahlsdorf
1 : 1
Luckenwalde
12 Jul
Altglienicke
3 : 0
Mahlsdorf
30 May
Mahlsdorf
0 : 5
SV Tasmania Berlin
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TSG Neustrelitz

(Away)
28 Aug
Rathenow
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
14 Aug
TSG Neustrelitz
3 : 2
Siedenbollentin
08 Aug
Lichtenberg
3 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
02 Aug
Hansa Rostock
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
11 Jul
Greifswalder FC
5 : 3
TSG Neustrelitz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SV Tasmania Berlin 30 22 1 7 85:32 67
2 Lichtenberg 30 19 4 7 77:45 61
3 Hansa Rostock II 30 18 3 9 66:49 57
4 TSG Neustrelitz 30 16 5 9 62:38 53
5 Klosterfelde 30 15 7 8 59:43 52
6 Siedenbollentin 30 13 8 9 59:59 47
7 Mahlsdorf 30 13 7 10 50:49 46
8 TUS Makkabi 30 14 2 14 57:55 44
9 Wismar 30 12 5 13 56:55 41
10 Sparta Lichtenberg 30 12 3 15 77:72 39
11 Rathenow 30 9 10 11 41:47 37
12 TB Berlin 30 10 6 14 44:58 36
13 Berliner AK 07 30 11 3 16 50:66 36
14 Dynamo Schwerin 30 7 10 13 41:47 31
15 Croatia Berlin 30 5 4 21 39:81 19
16 Viktoria Berlin 30 3 4 23 42:109 13
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