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Mahlsdorf vs Turkspor Berlin

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mahlsdorf play Turkspor Berlin in the Club Friendly 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mahlsdorf averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Turkspor Berlin averaged 1.8 goals scored and 3.4 conceded. In past meetings, Mahlsdorf won 1, Turkspor Berlin won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 2, 2023 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Mahlsdorf and 1.13 for Turkspor Berlin. This points to a Mahlsdorf double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Mahlsdorf
18%
Draws
30%
Turkspor Berlin
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Mahlsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Mahlsdorf picked up more points recently compared to Turkspor Berlin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Mahlsdorf Clean Sheet 21%
Turkspor Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mahlsdorf Turkspor Berlin
Matches Played 28 5
Wins 13 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.82 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.64 3.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Mahlsdorf vs Turkspor Berlin
6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mahlsdorf 51 / 100
Turkspor Berlin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mahlsdorf Turkspor Berlin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mahlsdorf or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mahlsdorf attacking → ← attacking Turkspor Berlin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahlsdorf scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Turkspor Berlin let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Mahlsdorf went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Turkspor Berlin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 6
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00