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Maidenhead vs Horsham FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maidenhead host Horsham FC in the National League South. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Maidenhead at 1.23 goals for, 1.3 against; Horsham FC at 1.11 for, 1.36 against. Head-to-head, Maidenhead have won 2 to Horsham FC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 3, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.44) back Maidenhead to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Maidenhead
20%
Draws
51%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Horsham FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Maidenhead average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Horsham FC's 1.11.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Maidenhead here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 16%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidenhead Horsham FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 National League South
Horsham FC vs Maidenhead
1:2
Aug 25, 2025 National League South
Maidenhead vs Horsham FC
2:1
Nov 10, 2007 FA Cup
Horsham FC vs Maidenhead
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidenhead 30 / 100
Horsham FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidenhead Horsham FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maidenhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Maidenhead's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Horsham FC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Maidenhead stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maidenhead VS Horsham FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidenhead

(Home)
17 Oct
Maidstone
2 : 1
Maidenhead
10 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 1
Tonbridge
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4
Maidenhead
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2
Billericay
Page 1 of 6

Horsham FC

(Away)
17 Oct
Slough Town
1 : 2
Horsham FC
10 Oct
Horsham FC
1 : 2
Maidstone
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 12 8 1 3 22:13 25
2 Ebbsfleet 9 6 3 0 20:4 21
3 Salisbury 11 6 3 2 20:8 21
4 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
5 Truro 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
6 Tonbridge 12 6 2 4 21:11 20
7 Dagenham & Red. 12 6 2 4 10:9 20
8 Weston-super-Mare 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
9 Dover Ath. 11 5 3 3 18:17 18
10 Dorking Wanderers 11 4 5 2 23:17 17
11 Farnham 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
12 Folkestone 12 4 4 4 18:14 16
13 Torquay 11 4 4 3 18:15 16
14 Chelmsford 10 2 8 0 14:8 14
15 Horsham FC 11 3 5 3 12:13 14
16 Hemel Hempstead 12 3 5 4 10:11 14
17 Farnborough 11 4 2 5 10:17 14
18 Maidenhead 12 3 4 5 13:14 13
19 Chesham 11 3 1 7 16:24 10
20 Braintree 11 3 1 7 18:27 10
21 AFC Totton 12 3 1 8 9:23 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
23 Walton & Hersham 11 2 2 7 10:27 8
24 Slough Town 12 1 1 10 12:31 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)