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Maidstone vs Ashford United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Court R.
28' Event
Leahy T.
40' Event
Charles K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Maidstone and Ashford United finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maidstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Maidstone
15%
Draws
51%
Ashford United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashford United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maidstone come out ahead of Ashford United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Maidstone's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 68%
Ashford United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidstone Ashford United
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 20 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.13 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.58 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Maidstone vs Ashford United
4:0
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Ashford United vs Maidstone
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Court R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leahy T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.98
Avg xA / game 1.29

Ashford United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidstone 59 / 100
Ashford United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidstone Ashford United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maidstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maidstone scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ashford United has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Ashford United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maidstone VS Ashford United
2.75 Goals Scored 1.4
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.4
100% Over 1.5 80%
88% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidstone

(Home)
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
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Ashford United

(Away)
26 Sept
Ashford United
0 : 1
Deal Town
12 Sept
Ascot United
1 : 3
Ashford United
29 Aug
Crowborough
2 : 4
Ashford United
01 Aug
Dartford
4 : 0
Ashford United
25 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 0
Ashford United
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