Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maidstone vs Farnborough

England England

National League South Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bloomfield M.
48' Event
Reindorf M.
68' Event
Charles K.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Maidstone and Farnborough finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farnborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Maidstone
15%
Draws
31%
Farnborough
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maidstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Maidstone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Maidstone's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 16%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidstone Farnborough
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League South
Maidstone vs Farnborough
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 National League South
Maidstone vs Farnborough
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Maidstone
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Maidstone
2:2
Dec 21, 2024 National League South
Maidstone vs Farnborough
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Charles K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Farnborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Bloomfield M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reindorf M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidstone 84 / 100
Farnborough 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidstone Farnborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maidstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maidstone's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Farnborough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Maidstone remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maidstone VS Farnborough
3.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidstone

(Home)
15 Aug
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3
Maidstone
08 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 2
Farnborough
01 Aug
Chatham
0 : 3
Maidstone
28 Jul
Maidstone
5 : 0
Brentwood
25 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 0
Ashford United
Page 1 of 6

Farnborough

(Away)
15 Aug
Farnborough
0 : 2
Hemel Hempstead
08 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 2
Farnborough
01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0
Bath City
29 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 1
Portsmouth
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagenham & Red. 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Weston-super-Mare 3 2 1 0 6:0 7
3 Tonbridge 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 AFC Totton 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
5 Horsham FC 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
6 Torquay 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 Salisbury 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
8 Folkestone 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
9 Maidstone 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
10 Dorking Wanderers 3 1 1 1 3:1 4
11 Truro 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
12 Hemel Hempstead 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
13 Maidenhead 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
14 Billericay 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
15 Dover Ath. 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
16 Farnborough 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
17 Farnham 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
18 Braintree 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
19 Chelmsford 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
20 Ebbsfleet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Slough Town 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
22 Chesham 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
23 Walton & Hersham 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
24 Hampton & Richmond 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)