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Maidstone vs Farnborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bloomfield M.
48' Event
Reindorf M.
68' Event
Charles K.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Maidstone and Farnborough finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farnborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Maidstone
30%
Draws
23%
Farnborough
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maidstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Maidstone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Maidstone's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 20%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maidstone Farnborough
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League South
Maidstone vs Farnborough
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 National League South
Maidstone vs Farnborough
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Maidstone
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Maidstone
2:2
Dec 21, 2024 National League South
Maidstone vs Farnborough
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Charles K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Farnborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Bloomfield M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reindorf M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maidstone 40 / 100
Farnborough 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maidstone Farnborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maidstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maidstone's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Farnborough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Farnborough has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maidstone VS Farnborough
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maidstone

(Home)
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
Page 1 of 6

Farnborough

(Away)
26 Sept
Walton & Hersham
2 : 2
Farnborough
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2
Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2
Farnborough
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
2 : 0
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)