Sport Picks
Mainz II vs Freiburg II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga Sudwest 
Match Events
14'
14'
Raweri K.
22'
22'
Klein M.
AI Match Summary
Freiburg II in this Regionalliga Sudwest matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freiburg II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freiburg II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mainz II haven't matched Freiburg II's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Freiburg II's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Freiburg II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 10%
Freiburg II Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mainz II | Freiburg II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Freiburg II
0:2
May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Freiburg II
0:4
Nov 16, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Mainz II
2:1
May 17, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Mainz II
1:3
Nov 16, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Freiburg II
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mainz II Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Freiburg II Compare
Top Goalscorer Raweri K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Klein M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mainz II 10 / 100
Freiburg II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mainz II Freiburg II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Freiburg II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mainz II scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Freiburg II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Mainz II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mainz II VS Freiburg II
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz II
(Home) 10 Oct
Astoria Walldorf
1 : 1 Mainz II
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2 Freiburg II
26 Sept
Kassel
1 : 2 Mainz II
19 Sept
Mainz II
0 : 1 Kaiserslautern II
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0 Mainz II
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2 Freiburg II
19 Sept
Mainz II
0 : 1 Kaiserslautern II
09 Sept
Mainz II
1 : 2 VfR Mannheim
30 Aug
Mainz II
1 : 3 Aalen
16 Aug
Mainz II
2 : 1 FSV Frankfurt
Page 1 of 3
Freiburg II
(Away) 03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2 Freiburg II
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3 Freiburg II
11 Sept
Freiburg II
1 : 2 Sandhausen
08 Sept
Eintracht Trier
0 : 0 Freiburg II
05 Sept
Freiburg II
4 : 3 TSV Steinbach Haiger
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2 Freiburg II
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3 Freiburg II
08 Sept
Eintracht Trier
0 : 0 Freiburg II
22 Aug
Stutt. Kickers
2 : 2 Freiburg II
09 Aug
Aalen
1 : 1 Freiburg II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aalen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Freiberg | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 26:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Kickers Offenbach | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22:15 | 20 |
| 4 | Stutt. Kickers | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19:15 | 20 |
| 5 | VfR Mannheim | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Freiburg II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18:11 | 16 |
| 7 | TSV Steinbach Haiger | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 8 | FC 08 Homburg | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Sandhausen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Eintracht Trier | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | 16 |
| 11 | Kassel | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 12 | FSV Frankfurt | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Astoria Walldorf | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Mainz II | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:21 | 9 |
| 17 | Ulm | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | 8 |
| 18 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14:24 | 6 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
