Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz U19 vs Freiburg U19

Germany Germany

DFB Junioren Pokal 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mainz U19 in this DFB Junioren Pokal 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mainz U19
35%
Draws
23%
Freiburg U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mainz U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mainz U19 lately — more wins on the board than Freiburg U19.
  • Win probability leans Mainz U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mainz U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mainz U19, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Mainz U19 Clean Sheet 11%
Freiburg U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz U19 Freiburg U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.41 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 DFB Junioren Pokal
Mainz U19 vs Freiburg U19
5:3
Feb 5, 2023 Junioren Bundesliga South
Mainz U19 vs Freiburg U19
3:2
Nov 20, 2021 Junioren Bundesliga South
Freiburg U19 vs Mainz U19
1:3
Feb 7, 2021 Junioren Bundesliga South
Freiburg U19 vs Mainz U19
0:0
Feb 23, 2020 Junioren Bundesliga South
Mainz U19 vs Freiburg U19
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz U19 83 / 100
Freiburg U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz U19 Freiburg U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mainz U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mainz U19 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mainz U19 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Freiburg U19 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mainz U19 VS Freiburg U19
3.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz U19

(Home)
13 Sept
Mainz U19
5 : 2
FSV Frankfurt U19
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln U19
1 : 1
Mainz U19
30 Aug
Babelsberg U19
0 : 8
Mainz U19
23 Aug
Mainz U19
5 : 1
Wehen U19
16 Aug
Kaiserslautern U19
0 : 0
Mainz U19
Page 1 of 6

Freiburg U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Heidenheim U19
3 : 3
Freiburg U19
05 Sept
Freiburg U19
1 : 1
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
29 Aug
VfB Stuttgart U19
3 : 2
Freiburg U19
23 Aug
Ulm U19
1 : 2
Freiburg U19
19 Aug
Karlsruher U19
2 : 2
Freiburg U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Leverkusen U19 6
Elversberg U19 0
Wolfsburg U19 3
Duisburg U19 0
FV Biebrich 02 U19 3
Karlsruher U19 1
Union Berlin U19 2
Hoffenheim U19 3
Bonner U19 1
Wehen U19 5
1. FC Eichsfeld U19 0
Heidenheim U19 5
Mainz U19 5
Freiburg U19 3
Hamburger U19 1
Cottbus U19 3
Grossbardorf U19 0
Hertha U19 3
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 5
RW Essen U19 1
Schalke U19 2
RB Leipzig U19 4
Berliner AK 07 U19 1
Darmstadt U19 2
Halberstadt U19 1
Koln U19 5
Worms U19 0
Jena U19 2
JFV AOBHH U19 2
Magdeburg U19 0
Mannheim U19 1
Stuttgarter Kickers U19 3
Alemannia Aachen U19 0
Dortmund U19 4
St. Pauli U19 2
Werder Bremen U19 0
Bochum U19 4
Dresden U19 0
Lok Leipzig U19 1
Hannover U19 3
Zehlendorf U19 1
Ingolstadt U19 4
Chemnitzer U19 0
Nurnberg U19 1
Hombrucher U19 4
Dusseldorf U19 1
Borgfeld U19 3
Kaiserslautern U19 4
B. Monchengladbach U19 6
Munich 1860 U19 2
Reutlingen U19 0
Paderborn U19 3
TuS Koblenz U19 0
Holstein Kiel U19 2
Villingen U19 0
Arminia Bielefeld U19 5
Braunschweig U19 4
Unterhaching U19 0
Hansa Rostock U19 3
Bayern U19 2
FSV Frankfurt U19 0
VfB Stuttgart U19 2
Blumenthaler U19 0
Augsburg U19 2
1/16-finals
Leverkusen U19 1
Wolfsburg U19 5
FV Biebrich 02 U19 1
Hoffenheim U19 9
Wehen U19 0
Heidenheim U19 2
Mainz U19 1
Cottbus U19 6
Hertha U19 1
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 3
RB Leipzig U19 2
Darmstadt U19 0
Koln U19 4
Jena U19 1
JFV AOBHH U19 3
Stuttgarter Kickers U19 4
Dortmund U19 2
St. Pauli U19 0
Bochum U19 4
Hannover U19 2
Ingolstadt U19 4
Nurnberg U19 1
Hombrucher U19 0
Kaiserslautern U19 1
B. Monchengladbach U19 4
Paderborn U19 1
Holstein Kiel U19 0
Arminia Bielefeld U19 2
Braunschweig U19 3
Hansa Rostock U19 0
VfB Stuttgart U19 2
Augsburg U19 0
1/8-finals
Wolfsburg U19 5
Hoffenheim U19 1
Heidenheim U19 5
Cottbus U19 0
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 3
RB Leipzig U19 2
Koln U19 4
Stuttgarter Kickers U19 0
Dortmund U19 0
Bochum U19 2
Ingolstadt U19 2
Kaiserslautern U19 0
B. Monchengladbach U19 6
Arminia Bielefeld U19 0
Braunschweig U19 2
VfB Stuttgart U19 3
Quarter-finals
Wolfsburg U19 1
Heidenheim U19 0
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 1
Koln U19 2
Bochum U19 4
Ingolstadt U19 1
B. Monchengladbach U19 3
VfB Stuttgart U19 4
Semi-finals
Wolfsburg U19 3
Koln U19 2
Bochum U19 1
VfB Stuttgart U19 2
Final
Wolfsburg U19 0
VfB Stuttgart U19 3