Sport Picks
Mainz U19 vs Maribor U19
Europe
UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 Bruchwegstadion, Mainz 
Match Events
22'
22'
Muller T.
28'
28'
Dukaric A.
Assist: Cuk T.
44'
44'
Dukaric A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Mainz U19 have won more games recently than Maribor U19.
- Model gives Mainz U19 a 34% chance of winning this.
- Mainz U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Mainz U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Maribor U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mainz U19 | Maribor U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.35 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Mainz U19 vs Maribor U19
1:1
Oct 4, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Maribor U19 vs Mainz U19
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mainz U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Kalemba M. L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Maribor U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Dukaric A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mainz U19 95 / 100
Maribor U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mainz U19 Maribor U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mainz U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mainz U19 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
Maribor U19 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Mainz U19 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Mainz U19 VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz U19
(Home) 06 Sept
Fortuna Koln U19
1 : 1 Mainz U19
30 Aug
Babelsberg U19
0 : 8 Mainz U19
23 Aug
Mainz U19
5 : 1 Wehen U19
16 Aug
Kaiserslautern U19
0 : 0 Mainz U19
09 Aug
Mainz U19
1 : 1 Koln U19
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23 Aug
Mainz U19
5 : 1 Wehen U19
09 Aug
Mainz U19
1 : 1 Koln U19
02 Aug
Mainz U19
5 : 4 Augsburg U19
03 May
Mainz U19
3 : 0 Augsburg U19
18 Apr
Mainz U19
0 : 1 Nurnberg U19
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Maribor U19
(Away) 06 Nov
Maribor U19
1 : 3 Dynamo Kyiv U19
23 Oct
Dynamo Kyiv U19
1 : 1 Maribor U19
02 Oct
Maribor U19
2 : 0 Lincoln Red Imps U19
18 Sept
Lincoln Red Imps U19
0 : 6 Maribor U19
25 Oct
Mainz U19
1 : 1 Maribor U19
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23 Oct
Dynamo Kyiv U19
1 : 1 Maribor U19
18 Sept
Lincoln Red Imps U19
0 : 6 Maribor U19
25 Oct
Mainz U19
1 : 1 Maribor U19
07 Aug
Odense U19
2 : 1 Maribor U19
06 Aug
Din. Zagreb U19
1 : 1 Maribor U19
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Rukh Lviv U19 4
FK Sarajevo U19 2
Famalicao U19 2
Midtjylland U19 3
Lech Poznan U19 1
Nantes U19 2
Malmo FF U19 3
HJK U19 5
Molde U19 5
Hamilton U19 4
AZ Alkmaar U19 14
Klaipedos FM U19 0
Sparta Prague U19 1
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Pafos U19 0
Zilina U19 6
Gent U19 0
Basel U19 3
Din. Zagreb U19 5
Basaksehir U19 2
Gabala U19 2
Puskas Akademia U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6
Lecce U19 2
Maribor U19 1
Mainz U19 3
Din. Minsk U19 2
Ludogorets U19 1
Turan U19 0
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 6
Univ. Craiova U19 0
Partizan U19 5
Final
Rukh Lviv U19 1
Midtjylland U19 4
Nantes U19 2
HJK U19 1
Molde U19 3
AZ Alkmaar U19 6
Sparta Prague U19 6
Zilina U19 7
Basel U19 2
Din. Zagreb U19 0
Gabala U19 0
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 7
Mainz U19 3
Din. Minsk U19 2
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 4
Partizan U19 5
