Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz U19 vs Nurnberg U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The DFB Youth League 2025/2026 game between Mainz U19 and Nurnberg U19 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nurnberg U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Mainz U19
15%
Draws
40%
Nurnberg U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mainz U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nurnberg U19 haven't matched Mainz U19's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mainz U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mainz U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Nurnberg U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz U19 Nurnberg U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.33 2
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 DFB Youth League
Mainz U19 vs Nurnberg U19
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 DFB Youth League
Nurnberg U19 vs Mainz U19
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 DFB Youth League
Nurnberg U19 vs Mainz U19
0:5
Aug 10, 2024 DFB Youth League
Mainz U19 vs Nurnberg U19
3:0
Dec 10, 2023 Junioren Bundesliga South
Nurnberg U19 vs Mainz U19
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz U19 84 / 100
Nurnberg U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz U19 Nurnberg U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mainz U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mainz U19 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Nurnberg U19 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Mainz U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mainz U19 VS Nurnberg U19
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Magdeburg U19
2 : 0
Mainz U19
13 Sept
Mainz U19
5 : 2
FSV Frankfurt U19
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln U19
1 : 1
Mainz U19
30 Aug
Babelsberg U19
0 : 8
Mainz U19
23 Aug
Mainz U19
5 : 1
Wehen U19
Page 1 of 6

Nurnberg U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Nurnberg U19
2 : 1
Aue U19
06 Sept
Furth U19
0 : 2
Nurnberg U19
23 Aug
Nurnberg U19
1 : 3
Dresden U19
19 Aug
Erfurt U19
0 : 5
Nurnberg U19
08 Aug
Nurnberg U19
2 : 4
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hoffenheim U19 10 5 2 3 25:16 17
2 Mainz U19 10 5 1 4 21:15 16
3 Leverkusen U19 10 4 3 3 21:17 15
4 Paderborn U19 10 4 2 4 21:23 14
5 Union Berlin U19 10 3 2 5 16:22 11
6 Nurnberg U19 10 3 2 5 17:28 11
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolfsburg U19 10 8 0 2 36:12 24
2 Heidenheim U19 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
3 Augsburg U19 10 5 0 5 15:15 15
4 Schalke U19 10 4 2 4 23:21 14
5 Dortmund U19 10 4 2 4 25:26 14
6 Holstein Kiel U19 10 1 1 8 9:36 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig U19 10 6 2 2 27:22 20
2 Kaiserslautern U19 10 5 2 3 22:17 17
3 Hannover U19 10 5 2 3 26:24 17
4 Bayern U19 10 4 3 3 29:21 15
5 B. Monchengladbach U19 10 4 3 3 22:18 15
6 Berliner AK 07 U19 10 0 0 10 5:29 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koln U19 10 6 2 2 27:10 20
2 Bochum U19 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Cottbus U19 10 6 1 3 18:24 19
4 Hamburger U19 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 10 2 2 6 20:23 8
6 Ulm U19 10 2 2 6 13:30 8
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)