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Mairena vs Cabecense

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015 game between Mairena and Cabecense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mairena
15%
Draws
26%
Cabecense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mairena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mairena come out ahead of Cabecense on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Mairena taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mairena Clean Sheet 20%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mairena Cabecense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.1 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Cabecense
0:0
Nov 15, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Mairena
0:2
Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Mairena
1:2
Sep 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Cabecense
0:2
Apr 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Cabecense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mairena 85 / 100
Cabecense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mairena Cabecense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mairena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabecense has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Attacking prowess: Mairena scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Mairena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cabecense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cabecense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mairena

(Home)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
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Cabecense

(Away)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 42 31 7 4 77:28 100
2 CD San Fernando 42 28 7 7 88:28 91
3 CD Gerena 42 28 3 11 89:38 87
4 Sanluqueno 42 26 5 11 74:40 83
5 AD Ceuta 42 20 12 10 50:32 72
6 Lebrijana 42 18 6 18 60:66 60
7 Conil 42 16 12 14 51:60 60
8 Sevilla C 42 15 13 14 42:45 58
9 Ecija 42 15 13 14 49:41 58
10 CD Alcala 42 15 12 15 40:52 57
11 Coria C.F. 42 16 9 17 48:42 57
12 San Roque de Cadiz 42 14 14 14 47:49 56
13 CMD San Juan 42 14 10 18 48:49 52
14 Los Barrios 42 15 7 20 45:50 52
15 CD Guadalcacin 42 14 10 18 39:48 52
16 Cabecense 42 12 13 17 36:54 49
17 Arcos CF 42 14 6 22 46:74 48
18 Mairena 42 11 11 20 42:55 44
19 PD Rociera 42 10 10 22 40:73 40
20 Cadiz B 42 9 11 22 45:54 38
21 La Palma CF 42 9 9 24 35:69 36
22 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 42 9 6 27 34:78 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)