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Mairena vs San Roque de Lepe

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 game between Mairena and San Roque de Lepe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Mairena
15%
Draws
8%
San Roque de Lepe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mairena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Roque de Lepe come out ahead of Mairena on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mairena a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mairena Clean Sheet 16%
San Roque de Lepe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mairena San Roque de Lepe
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs San Roque de Lepe
1:1
Nov 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs Mairena
2:0
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs Mairena
1:0
Oct 5, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs San Roque de Lepe
2:2
Mar 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs San Roque de Lepe
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mairena 84 / 100
San Roque de Lepe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mairena San Roque de Lepe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mairena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Roque de Lepe conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Mairena scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mairena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Roque de Lepe
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mairena

(Home)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 6

San Roque de Lepe

(Away)
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1
San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
03 May
Cordoba B
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 7 8 70:37 76
2 San Roque de Lepe 38 22 9 7 60:29 75
3 CD Alcala 38 21 9 8 78:43 72
4 AD Ceuta 38 20 9 9 54:33 69
5 Mairena 38 17 10 11 61:54 61
6 CD Gerena 38 15 15 8 64:40 60
7 Cabecense 38 16 10 12 60:45 58
8 CMD San Juan 38 14 14 10 54:53 56
9 Lebrijana 38 16 7 15 51:49 55
10 Conil 38 16 7 15 41:43 55
11 Cadiz B 38 15 7 16 49:46 52
12 Coria C.F. 38 13 12 13 48:53 51
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:58 50
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 14 6 18 56:54 48
15 Sevilla C 38 12 9 17 43:58 45
16 La Palma CF 38 13 5 20 46:61 44
17 Arcos CF 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
18 Pozoblanco 38 12 6 20 37:68 42
19 Xerez CD 38 8 8 22 41:65 32
20 Ayamonte 38 4 1 33 16:80 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)