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Mairena vs UD Los Palacios - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010 game between Mairena and UD Los Palacios finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Los Palacios.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mairena
20%
Draws
29%
UD Los Palacios
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mairena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Los Palacios carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mairena a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mairena Clean Sheet 18%
UD Los Palacios Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mairena UD Los Palacios
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs UD Los Palacios
1:0
Oct 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
UD Los Palacios vs Mairena
1:1
Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs UD Los Palacios
0:1
Nov 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
UD Los Palacios vs Mairena
0:0
Apr 9, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
UD Los Palacios vs Mairena
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mairena 76 / 100
UD Los Palacios 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mairena UD Los Palacios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mairena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mairena found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

UD Los Palacios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Mairena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mairena VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mairena

(Home)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 7

UD Los Palacios

(Away)
12 May
UD Los Palacios
2 : 3
Sevilla C
06 May
Ayamonte
1 : 1
UD Los Palacios
01 May
UD Los Palacios
1 : 0
Cordoba B
24 Apr
Cadiz B
5 : 1
UD Los Palacios
17 Apr
UD Los Palacios
1 : 1
Conil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Alcala 38 23 11 4 68:21 80
2 Mairena 38 21 7 10 54:30 70
3 Ayamonte 38 19 12 7 63:33 69
4 Marinaleda 38 19 9 10 52:33 66
5 Linense 38 17 12 9 50:32 63
6 Pozoblanco 38 17 11 10 44:33 62
7 Los Barrios 38 16 9 13 42:41 57
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 15 11 12 61:47 56
9 Cordoba B 38 13 16 9 38:37 55
10 Cadiz B 38 14 12 12 42:41 54
11 UD Los Palacios 38 15 8 15 40:45 53
12 Coria C.F. 38 14 8 16 56:47 50
13 Puerto Real CF 38 14 7 17 32:39 49
14 Sevilla C 38 12 12 14 42:40 48
15 Algeciras 38 11 13 14 48:53 46
16 Sanluqueno 38 12 8 18 36:41 44
17 Portuense 38 12 7 19 39:56 43
18 Murallas de Ceuta FC 38 11 8 19 29:42 41
19 Dos Hermanas 38 4 7 27 24:92 19
20 AD Cartaya 38 4 6 28 25:82 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)