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Maitland vs Fremantle City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Cooks Square Park, Maitland
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Nilson C. In: Bingwa T.
Out: Nilson C.
60'
Sub
Ambrogio N. In: Domfeh M.
Out: Ambrogio N.
66'
Sub
Thompson J. In: Ruiz R.
Out: Thompson J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Maitland
15%
Draws
37%
Fremantle City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maitland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maitland lately — more wins on the board than Fremantle City.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Maitland taking it.
  • Maitland have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fremantle City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Maitland Clean Sheet 14%
Fremantle City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maitland Fremantle City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Australia Cup
Maitland vs Fremantle City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maitland Compare

Top Goalscorer Wara S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Fremantle City Compare

Top Goalscorer Domfeh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmedov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maitland 35 / 100
Fremantle City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maitland Fremantle City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maitland scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Fremantle City has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Maitland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maitland VS Fremantle City
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maitland

(Home)
13 Sept
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 0
Maitland
06 Sept
Broadmeadow Magic FC
0 : 1
Maitland
30 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1
Edgeworth Eagles FC
23 Aug
Maitland
0 : 1
Weston Workers Bears
16 Aug
Maitland
2 : 1
Edgeworth Eagles FC
Page 1 of 6

Fremantle City

(Away)
22 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
0 : 1
Fremantle City
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
09 Aug
South Melbourne
4 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Fremantle City
2 : 2
Perth Azzurri
22 Jul
Maitland
1 : 2
Fremantle City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory -
South Melbourne -