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Maitland vs Fremantle City

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Cooks Square Park
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maitland host Fremantle City in the Australia Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Maitland at 1.13 goals for, 0.63 against; Fremantle City at 2.38 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Maitland have won 1 to Fremantle City's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 1-1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.50) back Maitland to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Maitland
44%
Draws
20%
Fremantle City
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maitland lately — more wins on the board than Fremantle City.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Australia Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Maitland Clean Sheet 16%
Fremantle City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maitland Fremantle City
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Australia Cup
Maitland vs Fremantle City
1-1
Apr 12, 2025 Australia Cup
Fremantle City vs Maitland
3-2
Mar 12, 2025 Australia Cup
Maitland vs Fremantle City
1-1
Feb 12, 2025 Australia Cup
Fremantle City vs Maitland
2-1
Jan 12, 2025 Australia Cup
Maitland vs Fremantle City
2-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maitland 36 / 100
Fremantle City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maitland Fremantle City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maitland scored in 96% of their last 26 outings.

Fremantle City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Maitland went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Maitland VS Fremantle City
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tigers FC-
Western Sydney Wanderers-
Kingborough Lions-
Melbourne Victory-
Azzurri United-
Macarthur FC-
APIA Leichhardt2
Peninsula1
South Melbourne-
Adelaide Utd-
Marlin Coast0
Brunswick Juventus4
Rochedale1
SD Raiders2
Weston Workers Bears-
Melbourne City-
Bayswater-
Sydney FC-
Maitland-
Fremantle City-
Queensland Lions-
Perth Glory-
Cumberland United-
Heidelberg Utd-
Sydney Utd-
Central Coast-
FK Beograd2
North Sunshine Eagles3
Preston Lions-
Newcastle Jets-
Sydney Olympic-
Brisbane Roar-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-