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Majestic vs Sonabel Ouagadougou Prediction & H2H Stats

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Municipal, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Konate D.
30' Event
Balima D.
60' Event
Ouedraogo V. A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Majestic
15%
Draws
51%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sonabel Ouagadougou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Majestic have won more games recently than Sonabel Ouagadougou.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Majestic Clean Sheet 19%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Majestic Sonabel Ouagadougou
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.86 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Majestic
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Majestic vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Majestic
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Majestic vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:0
Nov 6, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Majestic
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Majestic Compare

Top Goalscorer Balima D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Komi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare

Top Goalscorer Konate D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouedraogo V. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Majestic 32 / 100
Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Majestic Sonabel Ouagadougou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Majestic scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Sonabel Ouagadougou let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Sonabel Ouagadougou lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Majestic VS Sonabel Ouagadougou
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Majestic

(Home)
26 Sept
US Comoe
1 : 0
Majestic
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
Majestic
10 May
Kadiogo
3 : 0
Majestic
03 May
Sporting Cascades
2 : 1
Majestic
26 Apr
Majestic
1 : 1
USFA
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Sonabel Ouagadougou

(Away)
26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2
Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)