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Makedonikos Neapolis vs Karditsa Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026 Makedonikos Stadium, Thessaloniki
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Match Events

18' Event
Stikas A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 2025/2026 game between Makedonikos Neapolis and Karditsa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karditsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Makedonikos Neapolis
20%
Draws
32%
Karditsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Makedonikos Neapolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karditsa come out ahead of Makedonikos Neapolis on wins alone.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Makedonikos Neapolis Clean Sheet 18%
Karditsa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Makedonikos Neapolis Karditsa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.66 1
Goals Conceded 2.14 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Super League 2
Makedonikos Neapolis vs Karditsa
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Super League 2
Karditsa vs Makedonikos Neapolis
3:0
Jan 14, 2024 Super League 2
Karditsa vs Makedonikos Neapolis
0:1
Oct 15, 2023 Super League 2
Makedonikos Neapolis vs Karditsa
0:0
Sep 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Makedonikos Neapolis vs Karditsa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Makedonikos Neapolis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Karditsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Stikas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Makedonikos Neapolis 36 / 100
Karditsa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Makedonikos Neapolis Karditsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karditsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Karditsa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Makedonikos Neapolis scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Karditsa let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Makedonikos Neapolis VS Karditsa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Makedonikos Neapolis

(Home)
26 Sept
Makedonikos Neapolis
0 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
26 Apr
PAOK B
3 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Makedonikos Neapolis
4 : 3
Kampaniakos
08 Apr
Makedonikos Neapolis
0 : 2
Chrisoupolis
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Karditsa

(Away)
27 Sept
Apollon Kalamaria
1 : 0
Karditsa
19 Sept
Karditsa
0 : 0
Panionios
13 Sept
Ellas Syrou
3 : 0
Karditsa
06 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Karditsa
17 Aug
Karditsa
0 : 2
Aris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)