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Makedonikos Siatista vs Doxa Mascholouriou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Makedonikos Siatista host Doxa Mascholouriou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Doxa Mascholouriou have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Makedonikos Siatista have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.04. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.19) point toward Doxa Mascholouriou. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Makedonikos Siatista
15%
Draws
37%
Doxa Mascholouriou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Makedonikos Siatista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Makedonikos Siatista come out ahead of Doxa Mascholouriou on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Makedonikos Siatista's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Makedonikos Siatista Clean Sheet 20%
Doxa Mascholouriou Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Makedonikos Siatista Doxa Mascholouriou
Matches Played 27 3
Wins 8 2
Draws 5 0
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 1.04 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Makedonikos Siatista 85 / 100
Doxa Mascholouriou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Makedonikos Siatista Doxa Mascholouriou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Makedonikos Siatista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Makedonikos Siatista stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Doxa Mascholouriou let in goals in 67% of their last 3 matches.

Makedonikos Siatista's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Away concern: Doxa Mascholouriou has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Makedonikos Siatista VS Doxa Mascholouriou
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Makedonikos Siatista

(Home)
10 Oct
Vatolakkos
0 : 3
Makedonikos Siatista
04 Oct
Kastoria
0 : 1
Makedonikos Siatista
27 Sept
Makedonikos Siatista
0 : 0
Eordaikos
14 Apr
Grevena Aerata
0 : 2
Makedonikos Siatista
07 Apr
Floriada
0 : 3
Makedonikos Siatista
Page 1 of 6

Doxa Mascholouriou

(Away)
10 Oct
Doxa Mascholouriou
2 : 1
Kastoria
04 Oct
Eordaikos
2 : 0
Doxa Mascholouriou
27 Sept
Doxa Mascholouriou
1 : 0
Naousa

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eordaikos 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Makedonikos Siatista 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Anagennisi Arta 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Veria 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Alexandros Florinas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 Kastoria 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
7 Doxa Mascholouriou 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
8 Giannina 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
9 Thyella Katsikas 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
10 Naousa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
11 Vatolakkos 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (Losers stage)