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Maksimir vs Bistra

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Maksimir Logo

Maksimir

3 - 2
FT
Bistra Logo

Bistra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Maksimir and Bistra finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maksimir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Maksimir
20%
Draws
51%
Bistra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bistra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bistra haven't matched Maksimir's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Maksimir's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Maksimir Clean Sheet 13%
Bistra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maksimir Bistra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 3. HNL Center
Maksimir vs Bistra
3:2
Aug 29, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Maksimir
2:1
Apr 17, 2021 3. HNL Center
Maksimir vs Bistra
3:2
Sep 20, 2020 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Maksimir
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maksimir 35 / 100
Bistra 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maksimir Bistra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bistra conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Maksimir found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Maksimir went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maksimir VS Bistra
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maksimir

(Home)
17 Sept
Maksimir
0 : 4
Rijeka
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
07 Aug
Kustosija
4 : 1
Maksimir
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Maksimir
4 : 5
Ravnice
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Bistra

(Away)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)