Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malacateco vs Iztapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Vasquez T.
44'
Mercado F.
46'
Sub
Vasquez T. In: Moscoso K.
Out: Vasquez T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Malacateco and Iztapa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malacateco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Malacateco
20%
Draws
29%
Iztapa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malacateco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malacateco come out ahead of Iztapa on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Malacateco taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 68%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malacateco Iztapa
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2023 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Iztapa
1:0
Feb 12, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Malacateco
2:2
Nov 13, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Malacateco
2:1
Aug 31, 2022 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Iztapa
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Iztapa
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malacateco 95 / 100
Iztapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malacateco Iztapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malacateco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Iztapa conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Malacateco found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (37 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Malacateco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malacateco VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malacateco

(Home)
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Malacateco
24 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
Page 1 of 8

Iztapa

(Away)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)