Sport Picks

Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023

Malacateco

1 - 0

Iztapa

Our Tip

Match Events

42'

Vasquez T.

44'

Mercado F.

46'

Sub

Vasquez T. In: Moscoso K.

Out: Vasquez T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Malacateco and Iztapa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malacateco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Malacateco

Draws

Iztapa

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malacateco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Malacateco come out ahead of Iztapa on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Malacateco taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Malacateco Clean Sheet 68%

Iztapa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Malacateco	Iztapa
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	13	7
Draws	5	7
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	1	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2023 Liga Nacional

Malacateco vs Iztapa

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Feb 12, 2023 Liga Nacional

Iztapa vs Malacateco

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Nov 13, 2022 Liga Nacional

Iztapa vs Malacateco

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Aug 31, 2022 Liga Nacional

Malacateco vs Iztapa

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Apr 3, 2022 Liga Nacional

Malacateco vs Iztapa

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malacateco 95 / 100

Iztapa 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Malacateco Iztapa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Iztapa conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Malacateco found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Iztapa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malacateco VS -

1 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comunicaciones	22	12	9	1	37:16	45
2	Municipal	22	13	4	5	44:21	43
3	Xelaju	22	12	7	3	31:9	43
4	Xinabajul	22	8	7	7	27:29	31
5	Guastatoya	22	7	8	7	28:22	29
6	Deportivo Mixco	22	7	8	7	23:24	29
7	Antigua	22	8	5	9	33:37	29
8	Deportivo Achuapa	22	7	5	10	24:44	26
9	Coban Imperial	22	6	7	9	16:17	25
10	Iztapa	22	5	5	12	30:49	20
11	Malacateco	22	4	7	11	24:33	19
12	Santa Lucia	22	5	4	13	14:30	19