Sport Picks

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Malaga B vs Adra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
Sat, Apr 16, 2011
3 - 0
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malaga B host Adra in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Adra have shipped 3.1 goals a game lately, while Malaga B have conceded 1.94 and scored 1.06. Past meetings favor Malaga B slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 16, 2011, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.97 xG vs 1.31) point toward Malaga B. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Malaga B
15%
Draws
0%
Adra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Malaga B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Malaga B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Malaga B have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 18%
Adra Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B Adra
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 0
Draws 4 2
Losses 21 28
Goals Scored 1.06 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.94 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Adra
3:0
Nov 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Malaga B
1:2
Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Malaga B
0:2
Nov 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Adra
3:0
May 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Adra
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 85 / 100
Adra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B Adra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adra has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Adra registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Malaga B found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2
Antoniano
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
04 Apr
Malaga B
2 : 1
Jaen
Page 1 of 7

Adra

(Away)
14 May
Ciudad de Vicar
3 : 0
Adra
07 May
Adra
0 : 3
Alhaurin
30 Apr
Motril
3 : 0
Adra
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
16 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Adra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)