Sport Picks
Malaga B vs Lorca Deportiva
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
44'
44'
Martinez A.
70'
70'
Rodriguez Navarro A.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Malaga B and Lorca Deportiva finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Malaga B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lorca Deportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Malaga B's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 68%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malaga B | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs Lorca Deportiva
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca Deportiva vs Malaga B
2:1
Mar 11, 2006 LaLiga2
Malaga B vs Lorca Deportiva
2:1
Oct 9, 2005 LaLiga2
Lorca Deportiva vs Malaga B
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malaga B Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Navarro A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Lorca Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malaga B 86 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malaga B Lorca Deportiva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Malaga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Malaga B scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Lorca Deportiva conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Malaga B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Malaga B VS Lorca Deportiva
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Malaga B
(Home) 20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2 Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Malaga B
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3 Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1 Malaga B
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3 Melilla
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2 Antoniano
04 Apr
Malaga B
2 : 1 Jaen
14 Mar
Malaga B
1 : 2 Xerez CD
Page 1 of 3
Lorca Deportiva
(Away) 20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1 Murcia
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
03 May
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
19 Apr
Aguilas FC
2 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
05 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
