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Malaga B vs Los Villares

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Malaga B and Los Villares finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malaga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Malaga B
15%
Draws
40%
Los Villares
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malaga B come out ahead of Los Villares on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Malaga B's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Malaga B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 16%
Los Villares Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B Los Villares
Matches Played 44 31
Wins 21 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.68 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Los Villares
4:0
Oct 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Malaga B
1:3
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Los Villares
2:1
Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Malaga B
1:0
May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Los Villares
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 75 / 100
Los Villares 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B Los Villares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga B found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (44 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Los Villares's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Malaga B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
03 Oct
Malaga B
2 : 0
Granada CF B
26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0
Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2
Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
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Los Villares

(Away)
15 May
Antequera
5 : 0
Los Villares
08 May
Los Villares
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Comarca Del Marmol
2 : 3
Los Villares
23 Apr
Los Villares
3 : 0
River Melilla
17 Apr
Martos
3 : 2
Los Villares
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)