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Malaga Juniors vs CP Almeria

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Malaga Juniors Logo

Malaga Juniors

3 - 1
FT
CP Almeria Logo

CP Almeria

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Francisco J.
30' Event
Lopez J.
79' Event
Torres J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 game between Malaga Juniors and CP Almeria finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malaga Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Malaga Juniors
15%
Draws
85%
CP Almeria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CP Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Malaga Juniors haven't matched CP Almeria's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 16%
CP Almeria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga Juniors CP Almeria
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs CP Almeria
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Malaga Juniors
4:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Malaga Juniors
4:1
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs CP Almeria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Francisco J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

CP Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga Juniors 36 / 100
CP Almeria 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga Juniors CP Almeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CP Almeria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CP Almeria conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

CP Almeria's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Malaga Juniors scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malaga Juniors VS CP Almeria
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga Juniors

(Home)
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0
Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1
Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
11 May
Arenas Armilla
3 : 2
Malaga Juniors
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CP Almeria

(Away)
11 May
CP Almeria
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
01 May
CP Almeria
2 : 2
Marbelli
27 Apr
El Palo
3 : 0
CP Almeria
13 Apr
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Huetor Tajar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)