Sport Picks
Malaga Juniors vs Motril - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
Match Events
44'
44'
Moreno J.
57'
57'
Lopez C.
89'
89'
Porras A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Malaga Juniors and Motril finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motril.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Motril come out ahead of Malaga Juniors on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Motril taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Motril have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 18%
Motril Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malaga Juniors | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 3 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 12 |
| Losses | 23 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Motril
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Malaga Juniors
3:0
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Motril
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Motril
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Malaga Juniors
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malaga Juniors Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Motril Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Porras A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malaga Juniors 10 / 100
Motril 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malaga Juniors Motril
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Motril conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Malaga Juniors's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Motril lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Malaga Juniors VS Motril
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Malaga Juniors
(Home) 04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1 Marbelli
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0 Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1 Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1 Marbelli
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1 CP Almeria
27 Apr
Malaga Juniors
4 : 1 Mancha
Page 1 of 3
Motril
(Away) 04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Motril
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1 Motril
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Marbelli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Almeria B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 7 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Granada CF B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Churriana de la Vega | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 10 | Atletico de Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 11 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Huetor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Atletico de Marbella | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)
