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Malaga Juniors vs Torre del Mar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Portillo A.
14' Event
Navarro A.
31' Event
Moreno B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Torre del Mar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torre del Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Malaga Juniors
15%
Draws
59%
Torre del Mar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torre del Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Torre del Mar lately — more wins on the board than Malaga Juniors.
  • Win probability leans Torre del Mar's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 16%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga Juniors Torre del Mar
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 4 15
Draws 4 15
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Torre del Mar
1:3
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Malaga Juniors
1:0
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Torre del Mar vs Malaga Juniors
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Malaga Juniors
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Torre del Mar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Torre del Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Portillo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navarro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga Juniors 19 / 100
Torre del Mar 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga Juniors Torre del Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torre del Mar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga Juniors scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Torre del Mar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 38 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Malaga Juniors stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaga Juniors VS Torre del Mar
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga Juniors

(Home)
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1
Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
11 May
Arenas Armilla
3 : 2
Malaga Juniors
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
Page 1 of 6

Torre del Mar

(Away)
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)