Sport Picks
Malatya vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
Turkey
3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
90'
90'
Alkan E.
AI Match Summary
Malatya in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malatya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malatya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Malatya lately — more wins on the board than Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977).
- Model gives Malatya a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Malatya Clean Sheet 18%
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malatya | Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Malatya vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Malatya
2:2
Mar 11, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Malatya
3:3
Nov 1, 2020 3. Lig Group 1
Malatya vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0:1
Feb 2, 2020 3. Lig Group 3
Malatya vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malatya Compare
Top Goalscorer Alkan E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malatya 41 / 100
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malatya Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Malatya scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Malatya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Malatya VS Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Malatya
(Home) 16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0 Malatya
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4 Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0 Erciyes 38
27 Apr
Silifke
1 : 1 Malatya
23 Apr
Malatya
3 : 1 Silifke
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0 Erciyes 38
23 Apr
Malatya
3 : 1 Silifke
18 Apr
Malatya
2 : 0 Kilis Bld.
05 Apr
Malatya
6 : 2 Karakopru
24 Mar
Malatya
3 : 2 Osmaniyespor
Page 1 of 3
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
(Away) 18 Apr
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2 : 2 Kahramanmarasspor
12 Apr
Kilis Bld.
0 : 4 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
05 Apr
Erciyes 38
1 : 0 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
29 Mar
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 1 Mazidagi
25 Mar
Kirsehir SK
1 : 1 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Kilis Bld.
0 : 4 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
05 Apr
Erciyes 38
1 : 0 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
25 Mar
Kirsehir SK
1 : 1 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
07 Mar
Kirikkale FK
2 : 1 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
22 Feb
Malatya
1 : 0 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 Bingol Spor | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 60:28 | 60 |
| 2 | Erciyes 38 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 42:31 | 49 |
| 3 | Silifke | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Malatya | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45:35 | 47 |
| 5 | Mazidagi | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 32:24 | 47 |
| 6 | Agri 1970 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 57:33 | 45 |
| 7 | Karakopru | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 8 | Osmaniyespor | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:40 | 42 |
| 9 | Nigde | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 44:36 | 41 |
| 10 | Kirikkale FK | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:51 | 40 |
| 11 | Kirsehir SK | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 37:38 | 34 |
| 12 | Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 33:42 | 34 |
| 13 | Kahramanmarasspor | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 35:48 | 32 |
| 14 | Kilis Bld. | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25:53 | 30 |
| 15 | Suvermez Kapadokyaspor | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 29:47 | 28 |
| 16 | Turk Metal 1963 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 30:55 | 20 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)