Sport Picks
Malatya vs Osmaniyespor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Kanarya T.
Assist: Tukul O.
30'
30'
Kiran F.
Assist: Kanarya T.
45'
45'
Nas Y.
Assist: Yilmaz M.
AI Match Summary
Malatya in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malatya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malatya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Malatya have won more games recently than Osmaniyespor.
- Malatya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Malatya Clean Sheet 68%
Osmaniyespor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malatya | Osmaniyespor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Osmaniyespor vs Malatya
0:1
Mar 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Malatya vs Osmaniyespor
3:2
Nov 30, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Osmaniyespor vs Malatya
2:0
Feb 15, 2020 3. Lig Group 3
Malatya vs Osmaniyespor
0:2
Oct 5, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Osmaniyespor vs Malatya
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malatya Compare
Top Goalscorer Kanarya T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kiran F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Osmaniyespor Compare
Top Goalscorer Nas Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diyenli V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malatya 95 / 100
Osmaniyespor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malatya Osmaniyespor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Malatya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Malatya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Osmaniyespor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Malatya scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
Osmaniyespor let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Malatya VS Osmaniyespor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Malatya
(Home) 07 Oct
Malatya
3 : 1 Gelecek Siirt
03 Oct
Yozgat
1 : 9 Malatya
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0 Adanaspor AS
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1 Malatya
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1 Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
Malatya
3 : 1 Gelecek Siirt
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0 Adanaspor AS
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1 Kirikkale FK
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0 Erciyes 38
23 Apr
Malatya
3 : 1 Silifke
Page 1 of 3
Osmaniyespor
(Away) 07 Oct
Osmaniyespor
0 : 3 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
03 Oct
Osmaniyespor
2 : 4 Erciyes 38
26 Sept
Mazidagi
4 : 1 Osmaniyespor
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1 Malatya
13 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 1 Osmaniyespor
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Mazidagi
4 : 1 Osmaniyespor
13 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 1 Osmaniyespor
18 Apr
Kirsehir SK
0 : 2 Osmaniyespor
05 Apr
Kirikkale FK
3 : 1 Osmaniyespor
24 Mar
Malatya
3 : 2 Osmaniyespor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 Bingol Spor | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 60:28 | 60 |
| 2 | Erciyes 38 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 42:31 | 49 |
| 3 | Silifke | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Malatya | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45:35 | 47 |
| 5 | Mazidagi | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 32:24 | 47 |
| 6 | Agri 1970 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 57:33 | 45 |
| 7 | Karakopru | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 8 | Osmaniyespor | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:40 | 42 |
| 9 | Nigde | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 44:36 | 41 |
| 10 | Kirikkale FK | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:51 | 40 |
| 11 | Kirsehir SK | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 37:38 | 34 |
| 12 | Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 33:42 | 34 |
| 13 | Kahramanmarasspor | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 35:48 | 32 |
| 14 | Kilis Bld. | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25:53 | 30 |
| 15 | Suvermez Kapadokyaspor | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 29:47 | 28 |
| 16 | Turk Metal 1963 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 30:55 | 20 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
