Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malavan vs Persepolis

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium, Bandar-e Anzali
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mohammadi M.
(Penalty)
38'
Sub
Kanaani H. In: Pouraliganji M.
Out: Kanaani H.
45'
Sub
Karimi S. In: Afsordeh A.
Out: Karimi S.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 game between Malavan and Persepolis finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malavan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Malavan
15%
Draws
53%
Persepolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persepolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Persepolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Persepolis a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Malavan Clean Sheet 24%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malavan Persepolis
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.78 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Malavan
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Persepolis
1:0
Sep 25, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Malavan
0:0
Mar 14, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Malavan
2:0
Dec 11, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Persepolis
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malavan 10 / 100
Persepolis 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malavan Persepolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persepolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Malavan's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Persepolis conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Malavan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malavan VS Persepolis
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malavan

(Home)
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
19 Aug
Malavan
2 : 1
Zob Ahan
Page 1 of 6

Persepolis

(Away)
07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0
Zob Ahan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Tractor
1 : 0
Persepolis
19 Aug
Persepolis
4 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)