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Malawi W vs Angola W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Malawi W
15%
Draws
26%
Angola W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Angola W haven't matched Malawi W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Malawi W a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Malawi W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Malawi W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Malawi W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 68%
Angola W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malawi W Angola W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.43 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
Angola W vs Malawi W
0:1
Oct 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Malawi W vs Angola W
2:0
Oct 23, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Angola W vs Malawi W
0:0
Oct 4, 2021 COSAFA Cup Women
Angola W vs Malawi W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malawi W 77 / 100
Angola W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malawi W Angola W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malawi W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angola W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Malawi W scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Malawi W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Angola W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malawi W VS Angola W
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi W

(Home)
16 Aug
Cameroon W
3 : 0
Malawi W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
Page 1 of 6

Angola W

(Away)
24 Feb
Angola W
0 : 1
Malawi W
21 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 0
Angola W
18 Feb
Lesotho W
1 : 3
Angola W
28 Oct
Malawi W
2 : 0
Angola W
23 Oct
Angola W
0 : 0
Malawi W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -