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Malawi W vs Ghana W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Al Medina Stadium, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Boye-Hlorkah C.
12' Event
Chawinga T.
52'
Cudjoe J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Malawi W
15%
Draws
37%
Ghana W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ghana W lately — more wins on the board than Malawi W.
  • Malawi W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Ghana W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghana W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 18%
Ghana W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malawi W Ghana W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.54 2.61
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Malawi W vs Ghana W
2:1
Jul 23, 2026 Friendly International Women
Malawi W vs Ghana W
0:4
Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International Women
Malawi W vs Ghana W
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 Friendly International Women
Ghana W vs Malawi W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malawi W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chawinga T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kadzere R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ghana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boye-Hlorkah C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malawi W 36 / 100
Ghana W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malawi W Ghana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malawi W scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Malawi W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ghana W has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malawi W VS Ghana W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi W

(Home)
09 Oct
Malawi W
2 : 0
Zimbabwe W
16 Aug
Cameroon W
3 : 0
Malawi W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
Page 1 of 6

Ghana W

(Away)
08 Oct
Mauritius W
0 : 3
Ghana W
13 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Ghana W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Ghana W
0 : 1
Cameroon W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Morocco W 2
South Africa W 1
Cameroon W 1
Nigeria W 0
Ivory Coast W 1
Algeria W 2
Malawi W 2
Ghana W 1
Semi-finals
Morocco W 0
Cameroon W 1
Algeria W 1
Malawi W 3
Final
Cameroon W 3
Malawi W 0
Morocco W 1
Algeria W 2