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Malchower vs Reinickendorfer

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010 game between Malchower and Reinickendorfer finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malchower.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Malchower
20%
Draws
58%
Reinickendorfer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reinickendorfer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Malchower haven't matched Reinickendorfer's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Reinickendorfer's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Malchower have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Malchower Clean Sheet 10%
Reinickendorfer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malchower Reinickendorfer
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 3 5
Draws 2 6
Losses 30 19
Goals Scored 1.06 1.03
Goals Conceded 3.69 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2011 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Reinickendorfer
1:2
Sep 19, 2010 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Reinickendorfer vs Malchower
0:3
Feb 20, 2010 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Reinickendorfer
3:1
Aug 16, 2009 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Reinickendorfer vs Malchower
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malchower 10 / 100
Reinickendorfer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malchower Reinickendorfer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reinickendorfer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Reinickendorfer conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Malchower scored in 57% of their last 35 games.

Recent resilience: Malchower stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malchower VS Reinickendorfer
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
4.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malchower

(Home)
28 Jan
Malchower
1 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
22 Jul
Malchower
4 : 2
Rathenow
05 Jul
Malchower
0 : 9
Hansa Rostock
26 Jun
Malchower
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
08 Jun
Malchower
1 : 7
TB Berlin
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Reinickendorfer

(Away)
18 Sept
Reinickendorfer
2 : 1
Klosterfelde
13 Sept
TSG Neustrelitz
1 : 2
Reinickendorfer
30 Aug
Reinickendorfer
1 : 1
Mahlsdorf
16 Aug
Berliner AK 07
2 : 1
Reinickendorfer
09 Aug
Reinickendorfer
1 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cottbus II 30 20 6 4 67:26 66
2 BFC Dynamo 30 17 7 6 70:40 58
3 Brandenburger 30 15 8 7 57:40 53
4 Luckenwalde 30 16 5 9 56:43 53
5 Malchower 30 15 8 7 47:35 53
6 TSG Neustrelitz 30 16 4 10 70:38 52
7 Rathenow 30 13 6 11 43:46 45
8 Torgelower Greif 30 12 8 10 46:35 44
9 Schoneiche 30 11 9 10 45:39 42
10 Berliner AK 07 30 12 6 12 53:51 42
11 Ludwigsfelder 30 10 6 14 42:52 36
12 LFC Berlin 30 8 8 14 40:51 32
13 Reinickendorfer 30 10 2 18 26:46 32
14 Lichtenrader 30 7 3 20 31:79 24
15 Greifswalder FC 30 6 5 19 38:66 23
16 SV Falkensee-Finkenkrug 30 4 5 21 25:69 17
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2009/2010 (Main)