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Malchower vs SC Staaken

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019 game between Malchower and SC Staaken finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Staaken.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Malchower
15%
Draws
64%
SC Staaken
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Staaken

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Staaken come out ahead of Malchower on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SC Staaken's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SC Staaken have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Malchower Clean Sheet 20%
SC Staaken Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malchower SC Staaken
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 2
Losses 27 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.81
Goals Conceded 3.9 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2019 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs SC Staaken
0:2
Nov 9, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SC Staaken vs Malchower
5:1
May 6, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SC Staaken vs Malchower
8:1
Nov 4, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs SC Staaken
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malchower 10 / 100
SC Staaken 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malchower SC Staaken

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Staaken Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

SC Staaken has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Malchower found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Malchower stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Staaken
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Malchower

(Home)
28 Jan
Malchower
1 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
22 Jul
Malchower
4 : 2
Rathenow
05 Jul
Malchower
0 : 9
Hansa Rostock
26 Jun
Malchower
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
08 Jun
Malchower
1 : 7
TB Berlin
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SC Staaken

(Away)
17 Jan
Rsv Eintracht
5 : 2
SC Staaken
07 Jun
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismut Gera
04 Jun
Wismut Gera
1 : 2
SC Staaken
31 May
Berliner AK 07
2 : 0
SC Staaken
23 May
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lichtenberg 30 23 5 2 69:12 74
2 TB Berlin 30 21 4 5 76:27 67
3 Greifswalder FC 30 18 5 7 67:44 59
4 Hertha Zehlendorf 30 16 7 7 64:33 55
5 Hansa Rostock II 30 16 7 7 69:39 55
6 Blau Weiss Berlin 30 13 5 12 58:39 44
7 Altludersdorf 30 13 2 15 50:61 41
8 SC Staaken 30 10 8 12 56:52 38
9 Torgelower Greif 30 10 8 12 44:48 38
10 TSG Neustrelitz 30 10 7 13 37:46 37
11 CFC Hertha 30 12 1 17 45:67 37
12 Stendal 30 11 2 17 42:72 35
13 Strausberg 30 10 3 17 42:64 33
14 Brandenburger 30 9 5 16 52:64 32
15 Wismar 30 8 8 14 25:47 32
16 Malchower 30 1 1 28 28:109 4
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2019/2020 (Main)