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Malchower vs TSG Neustrelitz

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Keil D.
79' Event
Schultze J.
86' Event
Moller P.

AI Match Summary

TSG Neustrelitz in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSG Neustrelitz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Malchower
15%
Draws
42%
TSG Neustrelitz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malchower

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Malchower haven't matched TSG Neustrelitz's recent run of results.
  • TSG Neustrelitz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and TSG Neustrelitz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Malchower Clean Sheet 13%
TSG Neustrelitz Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malchower TSG Neustrelitz
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 2 18
Draws 1 7
Losses 27 12
Goals Scored 0.97 2.08
Goals Conceded 3.9 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Malchower vs TSG Neustrelitz
1:2
Mar 8, 2019 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs TSG Neustrelitz
1:4
Aug 31, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Malchower
1:0
Dec 9, 2011 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs TSG Neustrelitz
1:1
Aug 5, 2011 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TSG Neustrelitz vs Malchower
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malchower Compare

Top Goalscorer Moller P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

TSG Neustrelitz Compare

Top Goalscorer Keil D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schultze J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malchower 10 / 100
TSG Neustrelitz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malchower TSG Neustrelitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSG Neustrelitz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSG Neustrelitz let in goals in 81% of their last 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: TSG Neustrelitz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Malchower scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS TSG Neustrelitz
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malchower

(Home)
28 Jan
Malchower
1 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
22 Jul
Malchower
4 : 2
Rathenow
05 Jul
Malchower
0 : 9
Hansa Rostock
26 Jun
Malchower
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
08 Jun
Malchower
1 : 7
TB Berlin
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TSG Neustrelitz

(Away)
28 Aug
Rathenow
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
14 Aug
TSG Neustrelitz
3 : 2
Siedenbollentin
08 Aug
Lichtenberg
3 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
02 Aug
Hansa Rostock
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
11 Jul
Greifswalder FC
5 : 3
TSG Neustrelitz
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