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Maldives U20 vs Nepal U20

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SAFF Championship U20
Maldives U20 Logo

Maldives U20

1 - 1
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Nepal U20 Logo

Nepal U20

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Match Events

17' Event
Imran M.
86' Event
Lawat N. R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The SAFF Championship U20 game between Maldives U20 and Nepal U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Maldives U20
30%
Draws
33%
Nepal U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maldives U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nepal U20 come out ahead of Maldives U20 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Maldives U20 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Maldives U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nepal U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldives U20 Nepal U20
Matches Played 21 20
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.15
Goals Conceded 3.29 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 SAFF Championship U20
Maldives U20 vs Nepal U20
1:1
Jul 25, 2022 SAFF Championship U20
Nepal U20 vs Maldives U20
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldives U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Imran M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nepal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawat N. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldives U20 34 / 100
Nepal U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldives U20 Nepal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nepal U20 conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Maldives U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Maldives U20 scored in 48% of their last 21 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maldives U20 VS Nepal U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldives U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Myanmar U20
6 : 0
Maldives U20
03 Sept
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 4
Maldives U20
31 Aug
Maldives U20
2 : 0
Brunei U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Bhutan U20
0 : 0
Maldives U20
Page 1 of 5

Nepal U20

(Away)
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
23 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Nepal U20
27 Sept
Bahrain U20
4 : 0
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nepal U20 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Bhutan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Sri Lanka U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Maldives U20 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
Promotion - SAFF Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U20 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Bangladesh U20 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Pakistan U20 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - SAFF Championship U20 (Play Offs)