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Maldon & Tiptree vs Aveley

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Allen I.

AI Match Summary

Maldon & Tiptree in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maldon & Tiptree.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Maldon & Tiptree
15%
Draws
42%
Aveley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maldon & Tiptree

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aveley lately — more wins on the board than Maldon & Tiptree.
  • Model gives Aveley a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Maldon & Tiptree Clean Sheet 10%
Aveley Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldon & Tiptree Aveley
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 1 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.14 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Maldon & Tiptree vs Aveley
1:0
Aug 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Maldon & Tiptree vs Aveley
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldon & Tiptree Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aveley Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldon & Tiptree 14 / 100
Aveley 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldon & Tiptree Aveley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aveley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aveley conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Maldon & Tiptree's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Aveley has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maldon & Tiptree VS Aveley
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldon & Tiptree

(Home)
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3
Carshalton
15 Sept
Ramsgate
2 : 0
Maldon & Tiptree
12 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
3 : 2
Whitehawk
05 Sept
Cambridge City
6 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
22 Aug
Leatherhead
1 : 4
Maldon & Tiptree
Page 1 of 6

Aveley

(Away)
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
04 Sept
Aveley
4 : 2
Cheshunt
31 Aug
Stanway Rovers
0 : 2
Aveley
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
2 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Dartford 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 Carshalton 9 6 0 3 15:13 18
5 Lewes 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
7 Leatherhead 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
8 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
9 Dulwich Hamlet 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
12 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
13 Aveley 8 3 1 4 16:14 10
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Cray Wanderers 7 2 3 2 13:11 9
16 Maldon & Tiptree 7 3 0 4 11:16 9
17 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
18 Whyteleafe 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
19 Whitehawk 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
20 Three Bridges 8 1 1 6 13:25 4
21 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
22 Brentwood 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)