Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maldonado vs Albion

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Jaume S.
Own Goal
56'
Tormo S.
60'
Ginella F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Maldonado and Albion finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Maldonado
15%
Draws
26%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Maldonado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Maldonado's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Albion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldonado Albion
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Albion
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Albion
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda Division
Albion vs Maldonado
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Albion
0:1
Oct 24, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Maldonado
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldonado 95 / 100
Albion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldonado Albion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldonado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldonado found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Albion has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Maldonado stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maldonado VS Albion
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldonado

(Home)
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Maldonado
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1
Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Wanderers
02 Sept
Cerrito
0 : 2
Maldonado
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0
Maldonado
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Albion

(Away)
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1
Albion
07 Sept
Albion
0 : 1
Progreso
03 Sept
Albion
2 : 1
Progreso
31 Aug
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0
Albion
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 7 5 1 1 12:3 16
2 Cerro Largo 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
3 Racing Montevideo 7 2 4 1 4:3 10
4 Liverpool M. 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
5 Central Esp. 7 2 3 2 4:4 9
6 CA Cerro 7 3 0 4 6:10 9
7 Defensor Sp. 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
8 Boston River 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wanderers 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
2 Club Nacional 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
3 Maldonado 7 3 3 1 12:6 12
4 Montevideo City 7 4 0 3 11:11 12
5 Juventud 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
6 Albion 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
7 Progreso 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
8 Danubio 7 0 4 3 5:9 4
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)