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Maldonado vs Colon

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Ferreira M.
77' Event
Noble Sequeira A. M.
90'
Chopitea A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2025 game between Maldonado and Colon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Maldonado
28%
Draws
22%
Colon
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Maldonado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Maldonado a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Colon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldonado Colon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 12
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Maldonado
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Colon
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Colon
0:2
Jul 20, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Maldonado
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Colon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldonado Compare

Top Goalscorer Noble Sequeira A. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldonado 59 / 100
Colon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldonado Colon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldonado's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Maldonado remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Colon let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Maldonado VS Colon
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Atenas3
Tacuarembo3
Colon1
Maldonado2
Final
Atenas0
Maldonado1