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Maldonado vs Racing Montevideo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Maldonado Logo

Maldonado

2 - 2
FT
Racing Montevideo Logo

Racing Montevideo

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Da Silva S.
39' Event
Ramirez S.
42'
Sub
Cotugno G. In: De la Cuesta A.
Out: Cotugno G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Maldonado and Racing Montevideo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Maldonado
15%
Draws
21%
Racing Montevideo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Maldonado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Maldonado are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldonado Racing Montevideo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.68 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Racing Montevideo
2:2
Feb 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Maldonado
2:4
Nov 12, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Racing Montevideo
0:1
Jul 12, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Racing Montevideo
1:1
May 11, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Maldonado
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldonado Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Racing Montevideo Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vazquez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldonado 95 / 100
Racing Montevideo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldonado Racing Montevideo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldonado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maldonado scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Racing Montevideo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Maldonado went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maldonado VS Racing Montevideo
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldonado

(Home)
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0
Central Esp.
27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Maldonado
23 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Maldonado
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Cerro Largo
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Maldonado
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Racing Montevideo

(Away)
04 Oct
Racing Montevideo
0 : 1
Penarol
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1
Racing Montevideo
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
2 Montevideo City 9 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Penarol 9 6 2 1 15:6 19
4 Maldonado 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
5 Club Nacional 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
6 Wanderers 9 4 3 2 12:11 15
7 Juventud 9 3 5 1 10:6 14
8 CA Cerro 9 4 2 3 9:11 14
9 Racing Montevideo 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Progreso 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
11 Boston River 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
12 Defensor Sp. 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Danubio 9 1 4 4 4:10 7
14 Cerro Largo 9 0 5 4 6:12 5
15 Central Esp. 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
16 Albion 9 1 0 8 9:18 3
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)