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Mali Coura vs Bougouba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bougouba in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bougouba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mali Coura
17%
Draws
13%
Bougouba
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mali Coura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bougouba lately — more wins on the board than Mali Coura.
  • Model gives Mali Coura a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 68%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali Coura Bougouba
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Mali Coura
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs Bougouba
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali Coura 77 / 100
Bougouba 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali Coura Bougouba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bougouba conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Mali Coura remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mali Coura scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Mali Coura VS Bougouba
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316