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Mali Coura vs Bougouba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Mali Coura Logo

Mali Coura

0 - 2
FT
Bougouba Logo

Bougouba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bougouba in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bougouba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mali Coura
30%
Draws
41%
Bougouba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bougouba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bougouba lately — more wins on the board than Mali Coura.
  • Model gives Mali Coura a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 68%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali Coura Bougouba
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.74 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Mali Coura
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs Bougouba
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali Coura 77 / 100
Bougouba 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali Coura Bougouba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali Coura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bougouba conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Mali Coura remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mali Coura scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Mali Coura VS Bougouba
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali Coura

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
Mali Coura
1 : 1
Stade Malien
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Bougouba

(Away)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)