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Mali Coura vs Derby Academie

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Mali Coura
28%
Draws
22%
Derby Academie
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Mali Coura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Derby Academie lately — more wins on the board than Mali Coura.
  • Win probability leans Mali Coura's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 68%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali Coura Derby Academie
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 4 5
Draws 8 14
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Mali Coura
2:2
Jan 30, 2026 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs Derby Academie
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali Coura 59 / 100
Derby Academie 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali Coura Derby Academie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby Academie has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mali Coura went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Derby Academie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mali Coura VS Derby Academie
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali Coura

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
Mali Coura
1 : 1
Stade Malien
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Derby Academie

(Away)
14 Jun
Foot Elite
2 : 1
Derby Academie
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
25 May
Real Bamako
1 : 0
Derby Academie
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316
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