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Mali Coura vs USFAS Bamako

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Mali Coura Logo

Mali Coura

1 - 2
FT
USFAS Bamako Logo

USFAS Bamako

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Mali Coura and USFAS Bamako finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USFAS Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mali Coura
30%
Draws
41%
USFAS Bamako
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USFAS Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USFAS Bamako come out ahead of Mali Coura on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mali Coura's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 68%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali Coura USFAS Bamako
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.74 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Mali Coura
2:1
Feb 6, 2026 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs USFAS Bamako
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali Coura 51 / 100
USFAS Bamako 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali Coura USFAS Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFAS Bamako's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mali Coura stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mali Coura scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Mali Coura VS USFAS Bamako
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali Coura

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
Mali Coura
1 : 1
Stade Malien
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USFAS Bamako

(Away)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)