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Mali U17 vs Burkina Faso U17

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mali U17 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mali U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mali U17
40%
Draws
29%
Burkina Faso U17
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Burkina Faso U17 haven't matched Mali U17's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Burkina Faso U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U17 Burkina Faso U17
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 21 15
Draws 3 1
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2025 Friendly International
Mali U17 vs Burkina Faso U17
5:2
Apr 15, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Burkina Faso U17 vs Mali U17
0:2
Feb 24, 2025 Friendly International
Mali U17 vs Burkina Faso U17
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 Friendly International
Mali U17 vs Burkina Faso U17
0:2
May 18, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Burkina Faso U17 vs Mali U17
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U17 32 / 100
Burkina Faso U17 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U17 Burkina Faso U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U17's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Burkina Faso U17 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Mali U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mali U17 VS Burkina Faso U17
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%