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Mali U17 vs Chad U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Mali U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Mali U17
20%
Draws
30%
Chad U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mali U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Mali U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Mali U17 taking it.
  • Mali U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Chad U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U17 Chad U17
Matches Played 33 9
Wins 20 4
Draws 3 0
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.18 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Chad U17
3:0
Aug 13, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Chad U17 vs Mali U17
0:9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U17 85 / 100
Chad U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U17 Chad U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U17's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Chad U17 conceded in 75% of 8 recent games.

Mali U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mali U17 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U17

(Home)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 7

Chad U17

(Away)
21 Aug
Mali U17
3 : 0
Chad U17
13 Aug
Chad U17
0 : 9
Mali U17
24 Jun
D.R. Congo U17
:
Chad U17
27 Oct
Ivory Coast U17
3 : 0
Chad U17
14 Oct
Chad U17
0 : 3
Ivory Coast U17
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ghana U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Benin U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Niger U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Algeria U17 4
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Gabon U17 -
Mali U17 -
TBD -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Chad U17 -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Morocco U17 2
Mauritania U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Sudan U17 16
Djibouti U17 0
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Kenya U17 -
Malawi U17 -
TBD -
Cameroon U17 -
Tanzania U17 9
Seychelles U17 0
TBD -
South Africa U17 -
Namibia U17 2
Botswana U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Lesotho U17 -
Mauritius U17 -
Mozambique U17 -
TBD -
Zimbabwe U17 -
Comoros U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Ghana U17 6
Burkina Faso U17 5
Benin U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Niger U17 3
Nigeria U17 2
Algeria U17 0
Gabon U17 1
Mali U17 12
Chad U17 0
Egypt U17 2
Ethiopia U17 5
Senegal U17 6
Tunisia U17 4
Morocco U17 2
Guinea U17 3
Sudan U17 1
Zambia U17 0
Kenya U17 1
Cameroon U17 9
Tanzania U17 3
South Africa U17 1
Namibia U17 1
Congo U17 5
Angola U17 4
Mauritius U17 0
Mozambique U17 1
Comoros U17 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Ghana U17 3
Ivory Coast U17 1
Niger U17 4
Gabon U17 3
Mali U17 4
Ethiopia U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Guinea U17 2
Sudan U17 5
Cameroon U17 7
Tanzania U17 3
Congo U17 3
Angola U17 7
Comoros U17 0
TBD -
TBD -